Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x584ae9f463f66aa56031578d8be8436356456991880c0b75991be9762754d6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,937 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked BetBoom Team | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed BetBoom Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 890$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.6 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 36c | 665.59$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.13 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 40c | 583.36$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.78 | 2,835 | 43.6%1,237 W · 1,598 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 397.61$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 330.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 33c | 324.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 809 | 42.6%345 W · 464 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed MOUZ | 36c | 304.28$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed MOUZ | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 280$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed MOUZ | 69c | 228.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 147.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 20c | 145.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 135$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 36c | 134.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 98.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9f0abacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 94.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 60.8%217 W · 140 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 75.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked BetBoom Team | 23c | 73.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 761 | 48.5%369 W · 392 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 70.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 67.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…29bbbacked MOUZ | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked BetBoom Team | 37c | 53.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 52.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…a190backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MOUZ | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MOUZ | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcf…7e47backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked MOUZ | 80c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed MOUZ | 80c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…4ea9backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed MOUZ | 68c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.