TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
eLITenergyof Johnny Speeds, eLITenergy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked eLITenergy62c10,281$6,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.063,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Johnny Speeds40c7,305$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.7845357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked eLITenergy30c5,468$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828.8784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Johnny Speeds3c4,927$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9413238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x023e…7334backed Johnny Speeds41c3,832$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.135064%32 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked eLITenergy62c3,573$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.852,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Johnny Speeds43c1,535$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.682,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Johnny Speeds46c1,250$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb45…450bbacked Johnny Speeds33c1,236$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed eLITenergy62c1,073$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.026,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Johnny Speeds72c1,059$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.529044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked eLITenergy67c1,041$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.943560%21 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Johnny Speeds47c1,033$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.061,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed eLITenergy26c914.56$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.9834626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed eLITenergy28c899.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.995,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Johnny Speeds74c775.62$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.9339245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked eLITenergy52c729.07$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.77,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Johnny Speeds61c720.77$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Johnny Speeds42c676.26$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0922534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Johnny Speeds51c643.58$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.385,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fd8…2213backed Johnny Speeds73c590.28$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.91675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Johnny Speeds32c579.81$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.822,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa69…6e45backed eLITenergy26c573.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed eLITenergy66c550.96$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6224942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2156…b735backed Johnny Speeds25c543.88$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x676f…43c1backed Johnny Speeds73c491.9$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.091625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x06ab…b7e5backed eLITenergy25c484.28$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.711656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Johnny Speeds42c480.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9778043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds50c448.52$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Johnny Speeds49c395.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8833060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…3089backed Johnny Speeds48c387.42$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Johnny Speeds72c382.45$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3217948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Johnny Speeds73c380.04$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.435738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Johnny Speeds56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Johnny Speeds43c320.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8125042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed eLITenergy43c272.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.151,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Johnny Speeds46c259.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.383441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Johnny Speeds21c246.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8837346.1%172 W · 201 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked eLITenergy56c239.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.451,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds34c237.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.082,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed eLITenergy76c232.52$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8323172.3%167 W · 64 L+27.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x407d…574bbacked eLITenergy55c229.07$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.567644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Johnny Speeds66c226.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7117759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1210…3b54backed eLITenergy59c176.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.511030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Johnny Speeds73c176.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.872934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Johnny Speeds62c158.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.712351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed eLITenergy62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.895863.8%37 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Johnny Speeds40c153.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.443,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Johnny Speeds73c150$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Johnny Speeds8c146.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.426434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked eLITenergy26c142.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.837625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked eLITenergy52c132.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5129154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed eLITenergy51c126.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.832,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Johnny Speeds20c121.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7920145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed eLITenergy51c115.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.992,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Johnny Speeds27c109.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf483…40e8backed Johnny Speeds69c100.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Johnny Speeds59c98.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6140148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Johnny Speeds72c96.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7622645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds35c87.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.282,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked eLITenergy23c79.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3810428.8%30 W · 74 L+12.1wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+99.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed eLITenergy69c78.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3481551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Johnny Speeds68c76.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2211543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked eLITenergy65c73.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.621,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Johnny Speeds67c72.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.538942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed eLITenergy67c69.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8421351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Johnny Speeds65c67.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.521,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed eLITenergy48c65.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.512,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…cb45backed eLITenergy36c64.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed eLITenergy32c62.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4114630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed eLITenergy44c61.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.496949.3%34 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed eLITenergy52c57.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af6…7cb7backed eLITenergy58c56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.457258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked eLITenergy64c55.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5527556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Johnny Speeds33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked eLITenergy30c46.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3535752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Johnny Speeds71c46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6647856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed Johnny Speeds41c44.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.334751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Johnny Speeds77c43.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4115965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Johnny Speeds52c42.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1637841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Johnny Speeds57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3618554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd817…b1a7backed Johnny Speeds25c42.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked eLITenergy55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9216451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed eLITenergy67c34.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.513350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2b…e467backed Johnny Speeds71c34.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.571770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked eLITenergy34c34.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.546741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…2dabbacked Johnny Speeds59c33.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked eLITenergy72c24.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.881,27871.5%914 W · 364 L+3.6wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked eLITenergy47c22.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0647260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Johnny Speeds71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.144763.5%284 W · 163 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Johnny Speeds71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed eLITenergy53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Johnny Speeds73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Johnny Speeds71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Johnny Speeds71c19.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6327549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe588…ad2bbacked eLITenergy78c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e2…3c85backed Johnny Speeds71c14.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.467865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe02d…3aacbacked eLITenergy74c13.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.