AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc07c9dd941477c622287bf5b2a762baf6198be3df9763f2e5b398fd500442cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 20,027$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 7c | 9,476$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.54 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 5c | 6,655$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.53 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 10c | 5,570$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.5 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 6c | 5,565$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.39 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 5c | 5,208$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 4,278$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 10c | 4,066$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…00ebbacked Yes | 10c | 3,575$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,521$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 6c | 3,272$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 18c | 3,175$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…cf79backed Yes | 6c | 2,815$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…fce2backed Yes | 4c | 2,488$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…9bedbacked Yes | 4c | 2,143$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…246cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,965$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…6f5dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,926$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 1,824$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 20c | 1,816$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…914bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,739$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…773fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,646$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…64b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,557$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,538$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,526$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d6d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,508$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…7aa7backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 3c | 1,407$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…016bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,360$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…23e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,356$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…11c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,332$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…38d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,301$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 3c | 1,300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…3c70backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…350dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,194$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…c8dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…0f11backed Yes | 4c | 1,157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 9c | 1,152$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 10c | 1,144$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…afc2backed Yes | 4c | 1,130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2017…968cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…cb17backed Yes | 4c | 1,081$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedca…a9a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,079$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 8c | 1,030$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 14c | 1,026$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,008$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 1,008$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…884bbacked Yes | 8c | 991.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…e418backed Yes | 2c | 982$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…352abacked Yes | 4c | 980$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…3c15backed Yes | 2c | 955$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…9a87backed Yes | 4c | 940$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…6c69backed Yes | 4c | 933$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed Yes | 14c | 927.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…c37ebacked Yes | 9c | 907.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 5c | 905.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…f256backed Yes | 2c | 885$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 5c | 862.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…6ba2backed Yes | 6c | 857.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…ecc3backed Yes | 2c | 844$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 828.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…cc8bbacked Yes | 4c | 798$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…5f28backed Yes | 13c | 762.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…ff3cbacked Yes | 7c | 702.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…2351backed Yes | 2c | 702.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…6348backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 33c | 613.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcb…8bc8backed Yes | 4c | 613$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 610.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…ef0dbacked Yes | 4c | 607$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked Yes | 10c | 597.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…79e7backed Yes | 5c | 575.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…a701backed Yes | 9c | 573.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…5dc0backed Yes | 4c | 464.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +409.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Yes | 11c | 450$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 5c | 442.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 433.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…04a8backed Yes | 4c | 429$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a07fbacked Yes | 4c | 416$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 413$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 10c | 357.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…9be8backed Yes | 4c | 354$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 6c | 315.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 5c | 315.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…d397backed Yes | 22c | 292$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8b99backed Yes | 4c | 277.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 75c | 265.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 230.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 27c | 228$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 8c | 208.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 199.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…eafebacked Yes | 9c | 181.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…24dcbacked Yes | 11c | 174.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…92e1backed Yes | 9c | 138.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +605.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…f13dbacked Yes | 13c | 123.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 14c | 120.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 15c | 106.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…8c38backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?this page
- Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.