AI · resolved market
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd3ba62f58ec03498e38cfdada27ebee39f343d6867ef59a8ffebf633868e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 19,605$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 10,707$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…3d76backed Yes | 6c | 7,218$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 16cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 2c | 6,437$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 6c | 5,008$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,351$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 3c | 2,750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,685$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…d32fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,433$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…78b0backed Yes | 4c | 1,791$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fae…7b03backed Yes | 5c | 1,778$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,628$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…686abacked Yes | 5c | 1,607$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaf…5417backed Yes | 4c | 1,393$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…829abacked Yes | 4c | 1,343$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…6fefbacked Yes | 4c | 1,265$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae68backed Yes | 4c | 1,253$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 3c | 1,190$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…4ba6backed Yes | 4c | 1,183$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…087cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 4c | 1,107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…79a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,075$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…a525backed Yes | 4c | 1,064$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…b1cabacked Yes | 4c | 1,047$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cf…db68backed Yes | 4c | 1,024$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…ec27backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…8151backed Yes | 4c | 1,007$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a6…56b7backed Yes | 4c | 954$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…c8b4backed Yes | 5c | 949$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…5c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 928$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…d981backed Yes | 4c | 919$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 3c | 899.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…dc5ebacked Yes | 5c | 829$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 824.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…bd3cbacked Yes | 4c | 824$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…5958backed Yes | 4c | 822$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…6e8ebacked Yes | 4c | 808$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 2c | 806.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…bd63backed Yes | 4c | 796$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…a94abacked Yes | 4c | 792$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…782fbacked Yes | 4c | 777$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…3a52backed Yes | 4c | 758$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…59dbbacked Yes | 4c | 722$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…753bbacked Yes | 4c | 674$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd0…7858backed Yes | 4c | 667$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 657.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d87…1b8ebacked Yes | 4c | 625$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…2363backed Yes | 4c | 590$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…027abacked Yes | 4c | 588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…7fb4backed Yes | 4c | 570$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…cf33backed Yes | 4c | 569$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…a72dbacked Yes | 4c | 564$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…712dbacked Yes | 4c | 560$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…5b75backed Yes | 4c | 554$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…cf78backed Yes | 4c | 548$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…c87cbacked Yes | 4c | 539$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878b…456cbacked Yes | 4c | 524$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…c39cbacked Yes | 4c | 516$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…c39abacked Yes | 4c | 506$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…1258backed Yes | 4c | 504$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…99c3backed Yes | 4c | 489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…9821backed Yes | 4c | 483$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ce…41e8backed Yes | 4c | 480$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…3effbacked Yes | 4c | 463$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…410abacked Yes | 4c | 461$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…738ebacked Yes | 4c | 457$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…ae21backed Yes | 4c | 451$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…1223backed Yes | 5c | 440$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…6fb7backed Yes | 4c | 424$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…f9e2backed Yes | 4c | 419$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…2351backed Yes | 4c | 405.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…070cbacked Yes | 14c | 399.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…5559backed Yes | 4c | 386$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…c40abacked Yes | 4c | 379$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0572…e5b4backed Yes | 4c | 369$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b5…9523backed Yes | 3c | 359.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…a581backed Yes | 4c | 353$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…ebebbacked Yes | 4c | 339.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8d…e4cebacked Yes | 4c | 326$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…89d7backed Yes | 4c | 265$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea1…fbd6backed Yes | 5c | 265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fdfdbacked Yes | 4c | 236$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…7e12backed Yes | 5c | 203.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…7249backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 16c | 93.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?this page
- Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.