TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c11,453$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,653.491,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No22c9,241$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03114443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c8,603$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,703.1419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c5,453$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.268,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c4,756$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.882,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No66c4,179$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.95046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes34c3,361$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.5213134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c3,255$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.853,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No30c2,663$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.0528651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes72c2,440$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.35,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No31c2,330$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.61,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c2,236$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.321,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c1,730$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes17c1,678$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.716731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No26c1,478$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0720059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes68c1,260$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.258740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No13c1,053$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.53828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes60c1,022$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.629562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c943.31$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.791,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No11c880.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1416740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c807.17$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.471,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes23c776.52$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.18742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No20c764.33$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6327133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No66c741.91$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.471,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c732.27$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.31,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c598.47$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.31,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes79c583.2$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes34c423.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.653928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes34c421.59$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.255345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No66c419.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.291850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes29c395.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.621338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No19c369.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.611,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes59c365.92$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c349.42$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.971,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked No9c346.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-66.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes70c333.88$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1612545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes35c299.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.975648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes67c298.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No66c297.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…3918backed Yes59c292.62$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.971040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes33c290.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.872445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No76c284.42$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.876451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa312…fa38backed Yes34c282.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes73c269.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.516266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes36c268.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7113833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…23c8backed Yes75c263.49$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes60c261.89$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.762560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes70c252.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Yes10c249.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.923010%3 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No66c245.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.985058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No48c244.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.487957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes34c240.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4718543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes14c232.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes28c224.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.738137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes70c210.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No67c210$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.72050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No16c199.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8218338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No66c198.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.322152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No66c198.02$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.671752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No67c185$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.951952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dfe…bacabacked Yes52c176.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No78c174.16$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8117857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No67c166.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.365962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a7…62bebacked Yes36c165.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Yes29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No76c164.76$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.027660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes34c163.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1710846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No37c159.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8719630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes60c152.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes34c149.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.173444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba2d…2f32backed No13c146.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0180%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4312439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes34c141.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.224454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…9230backed No12c136.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes34c135.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.674738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No77c129.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No73c120.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.333050%15 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x880d…adb6backed Yes79c119$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No14c118.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No69c118.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9516255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No18c117.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes33c111$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3721349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No28c110.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Yes33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No67c110$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.72152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes34c108.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.793151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f6…f0d9backed Yes36c105.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No32c104.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No13c104.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.552025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes21c99.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.932425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1471…679dbacked Yes43c99.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c97.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No66c96.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.686842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed No24c93.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes27c92.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.911827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes38c91.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes34c84.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ff…1cbdbacked Yes34c84.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.