Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b1ee9aaa2e7971a10a84f0f7d42954ead2a6cd2be4a06defb6544f740c5d31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FN Esportsof Movistar KOI Fénix, FN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,406 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 4c | 7,174$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.46 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed FN Esports | 25c | 1,518$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.83 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 79c | 1,514$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.17 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed FN Esports | 66c | 1,150$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.35 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed FN Esports | 15c | 995.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.51 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 76c | 901$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 76c | 891.98$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.87 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed FN Esports | 61c | 827.11$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…4a96backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 78c | 730.96$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked FN Esports | 33c | 665.42$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.81 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 8c | 599.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed FN Esports | 40c | 584.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.17 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 75c | 473.28$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked FN Esports | 15c | 472.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.05 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked FN Esports | 12c | 400$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.54 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked FN Esports | 65c | 307.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 73c | 307.26$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FN Esports | 22c | 272.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked FN Esports | 28c | 256.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.53 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FN Esports | 14c | 221.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FN Esports | 9c | 171.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FN Esports | 14c | 164.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed FN Esports | 31c | 163.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 37c | 160.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 59c | 160$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FN Esports | 24c | 145$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FN Esports | 24c | 139.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896c…5692backed FN Esports | 18c | 136.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked FN Esports | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked FN Esports | 13c | 111.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed FN Esports | 14c | 110.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FN Esports | 14c | 101.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked FN Esports | 22c | 77.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed FN Esports | 21c | 68.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 80c | 63.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked FN Esports | 65c | 61.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked FN Esports | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2e…e9a4backed FN Esports | 23c | 46.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 73c | 31.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KOI.F (-1.5) vs FN Esports (+1.5)FN Esports won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.