Lol · resolved market
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf3ae93620cca60b862a48dd5a5eea8a4bd4dc2c98594cd1d1b3836d865a89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Berlin International Gaming, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,749 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Berlin International Gaming | 4c | 8,653$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 42c | 1,499$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.79 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Misa Esports | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 66c | 619.51$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Berlin International Gaming | 40c | 579.05$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Misa Esports | 66c | 450.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Misa Esports | 58c | 410$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Berlin International Gaming | 11c | 396.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Misa Esports | 74c | 371$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed Misa Esports | 58c | 310.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Misa Esports | 78c | 291.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Berlin International Gaming | 34c | 282.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Misa Esports | 60c | 270.75$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…a627backed Berlin International Gaming | 39c | 260.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Misa Esports | 58c | 258.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 256.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Misa Esports | 67c | 254.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…1be0backed Misa Esports | 64c | 217.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 214$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Berlin International Gaming | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Berlin International Gaming | 37c | 194.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Misa Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Berlin International Gaming | 37c | 162.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 78c | 140.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Berlin International Gaming | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Misa Esports | 56c | 136.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Berlin International Gaming | 42c | 133.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Misa Esports | 69c | 128.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…3930backed Berlin International Gaming | 19c | 103.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…b02dbacked Berlin International Gaming | 27c | 91.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Berlin International Gaming | 24c | 77.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 29c | 73.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Berlin International Gaming | 29c | 69.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Berlin International Gaming | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 61.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Berlin International Gaming | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Misa Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Misa Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Misa Esports | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Misa Esports | 61c | 44.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Misa Esports | 60c | 41.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 41.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Berlin International Gaming | 43c | 36.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9f0abacked Berlin International Gaming | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2e…e9a4backed Berlin International Gaming | 39c | 34.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Berlin International Gaming (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundMisa Esports won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.