Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Berlin International Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e42f7364068918d0bf6817c20c1478e74e7498fcebbae34445a9f7c316fa868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Berlin International Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Misa Esports | 38c | 1,123$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.44 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Berlin International Gaming | 62c | 987.19$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.06 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 38c | 659.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.47 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…e2bcbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 511$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Berlin International Gaming | 62c | 463$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Misa Esports | 38c | 395.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…f352backed Misa Esports | 23c | 378$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Berlin International Gaming | 61c | 368.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.53 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 344$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…2a79backed Misa Esports | 36c | 310$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…97ccbacked Berlin International Gaming | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…f2aabacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…8ccbbacked Berlin International Gaming | 64c | 296$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…4a77backed Misa Esports | 36c | 295$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…ee4cbacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 292$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…f405backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 286$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…ad31backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 258$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…7473backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa76…36d1backed Berlin International Gaming | 64c | 253$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…adbfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…7560backed Misa Esports | 36c | 244$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…81d9backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 238$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…59edbacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 235$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…6a1ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 232$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…9598backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 228$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…7fc7backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 201$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa411…1601backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 199$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…5b32backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 193$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…bfc9backed Misa Esports | 37c | 184$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…20f6backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 179$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…153cbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 171$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…5688backed Misa Esports | 37c | 167$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…6eadbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 165$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…eac6backed Misa Esports | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…890dbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 158$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…0b56backed Misa Esports | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…0368backed Misa Esports | 37c | 147$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…0569backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 147$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6d32backed Misa Esports | 37c | 144$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfc…a7aabacked Misa Esports | 37c | 143$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…d304backed Misa Esports | 37c | 141$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…d1edbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 131$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Misa Esports | 16c | 124$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Berlin International Gaming | 66c | 121.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Misa Esports | 16c | 120.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Misa Esports | 34c | 118.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…b799backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…8c83backed Misa Esports | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…bdecbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…d93abacked Misa Esports | 23c | 112$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…299ebacked Misa Esports | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2caf…6b8dbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 104$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…c741backed Misa Esports | 23c | 101$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Misa Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…7c83backed Misa Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…3152backed Misa Esports | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…5393backed Misa Esports | 37c | 79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b7a5backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…24c1backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Berlin International Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundMisa Esports won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.