South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69aa3bdf6938da322e2714c78cd69f5b1f27f2f86e1e7e8e8b8c41ea7168b8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,193$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,074$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 827.75$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.86 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Yes | 6c | 614.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 36c | 554.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 439.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…1cc5backed Yes | 64c | 238.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 66c | 194.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 17c | 184.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 49c | 168$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 64c | 149.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 46c | 131.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 37c | 131.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 106.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 37c | 81.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 72.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Yes | 24c | 61.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 64c | 42.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 41.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 48c | 34.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.