NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Spartak Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bce027a17f0c11131ec61b5061ecbfe4ab9e4be0331b1216ce780c57d34e169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spartak Moscowof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Spartak Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartak Moscow | 42c | 858.38$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.26 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 54c | 426.53$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Spartak Moscow | 49c | 327.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Spartak Moscow | 44c | 299.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 51c | 272.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 53c | 243.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Spartak Moscow | 45c | 219.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Spartak Moscow | 47c | 125.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Spartak Moscow | 47c | 118.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Spartak Moscow | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 98.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 77.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Spartak Moscow | 47c | 65.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spartak Moscow | 48c | 60.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 54c | 53.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spartak Moscow | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…7d11backed Spartak Moscow | 47c | 44.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Spartak Moscow | 39c | 43.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 53c | 30.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 73c | 21.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…5dddbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.