Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98dbce85fd86bc94b3331ec4e3110c777638389c0e3a62ca6f8d24a5eaa897b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lehigh Mountain Hawksof Lafayette Leopards, Lehigh Mountain Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 59c | 4,761$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.83 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Lafayette Leopards | 28c | 2,950$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.39per pick | 43cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 72c | 2,740$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Lafayette Leopards | 23c | 2,670$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.93 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 41c | 2,546$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 1,627$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.98 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 58c | 1,335$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Lafayette Leopards | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Lafayette Leopards | 11c | 863.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 64c | 684.44$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lafayette Leopards | 42c | 604.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lafayette Leopards | 40c | 559.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lafayette Leopards | 34c | 505$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lafayette Leopards | 7c | 444.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lafayette Leopards | 43c | 374.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 15c | 339.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 42c | 323.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 70c | 260$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 16c | 259.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Lafayette Leopards | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Lafayette Leopards | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 42c | 171.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 58c | 158.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 77c | 157.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 58c | 113.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lafayette Leopards | 57c | 110.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Lafayette Leopards | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Lafayette Leopards | 22c | 77.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Lafayette Leopards | 42c | 73.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lafayette Leopards | 27c | 46.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 57c | 42.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 49c | 40.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 65c | 37.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 57c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Lafayette Leopards | 57c | 34.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lafayette Leopards | 40c | 34.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Lafayette Leopards | 55c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…af18backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 78c | 17.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksthis page
- Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)Lehigh Mountain Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.