Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Cocciaretto (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57da9106615ae51485eda37bbfa65c4f553782a9a820a5f1793f7ebc61bcda9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocciarettoof Tauson, Cocciaretto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Tauson | 47c | 1,871$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.17 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tauson | 47c | 1,224$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.46 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Tauson | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Tauson | 49c | 633.35$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tauson | 47c | 599.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Cocciaretto | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Tauson | 47c | 254.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 248.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Cocciaretto | 53c | 219.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Tauson | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Tauson | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tauson | 49c | 109.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Cocciaretto | 28c | 106$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Cocciaretto | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cocciaretto | 52c | 82.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tauson | 50c | 59.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Cocciaretto | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tauson | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tauson | 49c | 48.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cocciaretto | 64c | 44.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Cocciaretto | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Tauson | 48c | 42.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Cocciaretto | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Cocciaretto | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Tauson | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tauson | 74c | 31.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Cocciaretto | 53c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Tauson | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Cocciaretto (+1.5)this page
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara TausonElisabetta Cocciaretto won
- Set 1 Winner: Cocciaretto vs TausonTauson won
- Set 2 Winner: Cocciaretto vs TausonCocciaretto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.