Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297b28868d051afbe8ad77c6502fafe0acb594dd153c4a9584598b0b5dafca30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 49c | 10,959$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 8,065$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.11 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 6,849$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.32 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 68c | 4,779$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.73 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 4,074$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 2,462$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.49 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 32c | 2,427$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.21 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 2,191$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.79 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 912.56$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.66 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 883$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.16 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 883$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.16 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 807.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.85 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 720.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 646.61$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Over | 50c | 630$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 51c | 556.86$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Over | 49c | 509.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 339.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 53c | 257.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 243$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 226.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 172.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 172.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 153.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 153.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over | 44c | 149.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 149.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 126.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 125.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 51c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 51c | 109.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Over | 53c | 88.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 51c | 79.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 50c | 79.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 51c | 68.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Over | 51c | 49.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 48.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 46.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 42.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Under | 52c | 32.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 53c | 30.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 30.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 29.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 53c | 26.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 51c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 49c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 53c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5this page
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: PAOK O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: PAOK O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.