Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7abd0eacf701ad60956f5641433cd631e5adc1eadb5692d7f856e156e1f7c93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 1c | 5,604$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,635$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 70c | 1,601$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.82 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 1,302$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 1,295$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.12 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,211$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…7518backed Under | 31c | 299.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 47c | 207.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 28c | 171$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 73c | 142.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 26c | 129.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 72c | 81.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 25c | 42.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5this page
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: PAOK O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: PAOK O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.