TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Bolt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aleksandar Vukicof Aleksandar Vukic, Alex Bolt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Alex Bolt1c17,555$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Alex Bolt7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Aleksandar Vukic71c4,206$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.8544163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Bolt13c3,987$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.268,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Alex Bolt29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Alex Bolt28c1,574$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9518542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Aleksandar Vukic70c1,432$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0722667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Aleksandar Vukic71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4512467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Alex Bolt30c1,261$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.2958232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Alex Bolt2c908$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.674143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Alex Bolt8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Aleksandar Vukic70c718.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.155166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Aleksandar Vukic70c610.42$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.234,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alex Bolt33c599.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.157,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Alex Bolt30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Aleksandar Vukic71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14519251%98 W · 94 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Aleksandar Vukic67c447.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.843154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Alex Bolt31c431.65$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4499249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alex Bolt11c405.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.634,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Alex Bolt11c372.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9927724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Alex Bolt30c367.25$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1826441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bc…0b14backed Aleksandar Vukic79c350$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7310573.3%77 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Aleksandar Vukic67c348$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.841,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Alex Bolt33c332.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.897829.5%23 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Aleksandar Vukic77c323.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.351,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Alex Bolt8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Alex Bolt29c302.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1932333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Alex Bolt29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8734555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Aleksandar Vukic69c298.54$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5520763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Aleksandar Vukic68c293.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.959849%48 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Aleksandar Vukic73c281.27$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.514,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aleksandar Vukic70c279.05$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.463,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…b3eabacked Alex Bolt8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alex Bolt7c234.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa216…b201backed Aleksandar Vukic71c214.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2211757.3%67 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Alex Bolt17c181.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.741,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Bolt28c179$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.127,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Bolt9c170.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.143,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alex Bolt29c160$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alex Bolt31c159.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Alex Bolt30c143.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438234.1%28 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Alex Bolt9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alex Bolt19c119.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7457950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Alex Bolt30c107.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5852847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Alex Bolt31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Alex Bolt34c99.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9993945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…30f1backed Aleksandar Vukic71c76.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.311650%8 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alex Bolt29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.754,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Aleksandar Vukic67c74.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7838664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alex Bolt31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Aleksandar Vukic66c63.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5250845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Alex Bolt32c61.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Alex Bolt34c57.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Alex Bolt31c57.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Aleksandar Vukic71c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2430746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Aleksandar Vukic71c54.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.899161.5%56 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Aleksandar Vukic76c50.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Alex Bolt23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.544946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Alex Bolt30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Alex Bolt30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alex Bolt29c48.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Alex Bolt29c47.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Alex Bolt30c43.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.145751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Aleksandar Vukic70c39.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.839162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Aleksandar Vukic67c37.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.411,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Aleksandar Vukic72c32.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.075,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Aleksandar Vukic66c29.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.981,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Aleksandar Vukic69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4383…dbddbacked Aleksandar Vukic69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Aleksandar Vukic80c24.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.886,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Aleksandar Vukic77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aleksandar Vukic77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Aleksandar Vukic72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Aleksandar Vukic77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Aleksandar Vukic77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Aleksandar Vukic67c19.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.589867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Aleksandar Vukic67c18.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.223162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420f…9090backed Aleksandar Vukic66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4411050%55 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x083d…10a1backed Aleksandar Vukic67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55971.2%42 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.