Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff7b9952555051ad25a7f4af0a5ce82911834f7e2e84ef545978069e737f739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dammof Shelton, Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc398…f446backed Shelton | 50c | 5,862$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.58 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Damm | 49c | 5,023$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.94 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Damm | 50c | 4,239$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.66 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Shelton | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Damm | 33c | 993.95$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.31 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Damm | 49c | 733.18$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.54 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Shelton | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Shelton | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Shelton | 71c | 479$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Shelton | 49c | 421.14$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Shelton | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Shelton | 78c | 352.47$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Damm | 51c | 265.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Damm | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Shelton | 49c | 234.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Damm | 58c | 164.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Shelton | 52c | 153.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Damm | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Shelton | 51c | 75.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Damm | 29c | 70.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Shelton | 50c | 53.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…7728backed Shelton | 52c | 36.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Damm | 50c | 33.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Damm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…afa0backed Damm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Damm | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)this page
- Damm vs. Shelton: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Damm vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton won
- Set 1 Winner: Damm vs SheltonShelton won
- Set 2 Winner: Damm vs SheltonDamm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.