Asian League · resolved market

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b46415d1828da28e4a4990642cccb3d87a088285893e0e1902b8b3e48d1c85

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdf80…3259backed Over	36c	10,393$3,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,758.43	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	10c	5,162$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.18	2,522	42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L	+54.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	11c	3,995$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.29	968	46.1%446 W · 522 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	3,474$1,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850.46	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	49c	2,731$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.18	2,491	40%997 W · 1,494 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	71c	1,602$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.53	1,647	36.2%596 W · 1,051 L	-34.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over	54c	1,268$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.48	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	16c	1,089$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.24	1,028	41.7%429 W · 599 L	-31.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Over	57c	1,087$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	46c	955$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.7	892	45%401 W · 491 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over	50c	699.99$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	10c	669$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.64	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under	48c	610$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.3	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under	80c	571.14$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	51c	510$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.12	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	43c	334$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.38	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	75c	304.3$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.87	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	46c	303$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.05	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-14.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under	45c	299.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+103.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	40c	296.05$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.69	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	78c	268.6$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.45	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	27c	223.93$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.96	261	36.8%96 W · 165 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under	45c	219.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.99	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	89	28.1%25 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	79c	190.82$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.43	1,309	56.8%743 W · 566 L	+66.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	40c	160$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.13	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under	45c	159.09$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.5	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	43c	154.39$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	57c	154.39$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Under	61c	150$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over	60c	147$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36c…da2fbacked Under	47c	146.34$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.56	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	42c	142$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.36	294	32%94 W · 200 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	18c	129.43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	585	42.7%250 W · 335 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	43c	126.72$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.23	1,651	50.9%840 W · 811 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	57c	117.65$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.02	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Under	46c	115.63$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.44	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over	37c	109.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+6.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	276	39.5%109 W · 167 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	26c	97.86$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.24	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+7.7wins	+0.26per pick	44cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over	53c	93.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Under	42c	92.94$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.22	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Over	55c	88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	43c	72.28$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.2	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over	55c	70.13$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.57	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	80c	63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.27	770	56.2%433 W · 337 L	+40.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	57c	60.79$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	158	50%79 W · 79 L	-14.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	43c	57.12$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.37	1,970	54.4%1,071 W · 899 L	+32.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Over	49c	49.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	54c	46.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	934	46.1%431 W · 503 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	56c	44.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	46c	40.07$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.64	693	52.2%362 W · 331 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	66c	38.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	58c	36.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	257	42%108 W · 149 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	77.5%31 W · 9 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	66cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under	46c	34.67$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	67c	34.24$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	395	61.8%244 W · 151 L	+56.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	78c	34$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	375	59.2%222 W · 153 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	539	46.9%253 W · 286 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	65c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	441	52.4%231 W · 210 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Under	71c	28.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	41c	27.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	88	6.8%6 W · 82 L	-22.0wins	-0.25per pick	32cpaid	-78%equal weight	28-0.19 edge/pick
0xedff…3a46backed Over	77c	26.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	57c	25.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	1,443	35.3%509 W · 934 L	-36.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	54c	23.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	1,117	46.2%516 W · 601 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	56c	22.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	747	39.4%294 W · 453 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…c1bdbacked Over	60c	21.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	71c	18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	213	67.6%144 W · 69 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under	75c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	77	62.3%48 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	63c	15.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	40	77.5%31 W · 9 L	+7.5wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 0.5Under won
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 1.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event