TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,098 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c700$238 inLost-$23810823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under76c500$379 inWon+$1211050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over34c480$163 inLost-$163.25330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over32c462.55$147 inLost-$146.846642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over8c413.64$32 inLost-$31.585,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over13c229.29$30 inLost-$29.831,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under67c225$152 inWon+$73.4520838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under79c187.34$148 inWon+$39.344566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c164.22$25 inLost-$25.392,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under66c100$66 inWon+$3434150.7%173 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Under48c100$48 inWon+$522653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c99.7$66 inWon+$34.11,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over36c80.97$29 inLost-$28.7920150.7%102 W · 99 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c73.12$47 inWon+$26.412,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under65c70$46 inWon+$24.1554746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over35c69.89$24 inLost-$24.4628040.4%113 W · 167 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over56c51.79$29 inLost-$298645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under67c47.61$32 inWon+$15.718243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under64c44.97$29 inWon+$16.1930731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over34c44.12$15 inLost-$1518646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under53c43.61$23 inWon+$20.6125742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over35c40$14 inLost-$1414047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under46c21.74$10 inWon+$11.743070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.