MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5c49406d63804d59e7c7c6f9cd314a2b60602d10d22d8b04ecb2a4aaeeded5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Chicago Cubs, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $924,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 251,096$150,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,318.11 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 200,870$106,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,321.04 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 170,695$58,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,263.48 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 168,587$66,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,614.88 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 124,003$60,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,787.81 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 117,445$55,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,290.57 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 37,813$19,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,662.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 23,310$6,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,422.01 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 17,168$7,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,688.02 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 13,686$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 9,792$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070.92 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 9,352$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.11 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…ae20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 8,029$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 7,954$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.54 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 7,450$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.73 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 7,408$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.05 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 6,767$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 6,732$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.7 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 6,574$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.93 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 6,058$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.72 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 5,821$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.39 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 5,659$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.37 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 5,092$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.19 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,375$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 4,218$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.18 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,006$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.16 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 3,853$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.12 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,846$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.91 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,798$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.85 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…1623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,798$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 3,481$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.94 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,830$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,573$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.16 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,383$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.99 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,360$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.85 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,350$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,107$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.32 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,998$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.17 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,925$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.18 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,922$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.91 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,848$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.19 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…9c86backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 1,812$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,767$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.73 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,622$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.51 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…10d7backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,487$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,327$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.79 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.84 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 1,064$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.95 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 985$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.35 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 950$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 941$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 892.55$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 801.58$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…9a6ebacked Chicago Cubs | 3c | 791.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 783.02$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 745.69$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 710.31$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 685$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 639.19$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 632.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 625.77$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 600.46$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 543.47$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 541$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 534$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.34 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 521.16$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 499.64$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Chicago Cubs | 4c | 499.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 494$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 482.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 464.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b953backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 449.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 414.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…bf40backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.