WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b66dc6b00be1a260e0a1de3fde6b9bef9f7aca8ce70624deed3a68a88059e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.9 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Washington Mystics | 72c | 23,464$16,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,505.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.99 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 18,571$11,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.59 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 16,836$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.07 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 14,003$5,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.81 | 522 | 47.5%248 W · 274 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 13,113$8,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.87 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 11,812$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.47 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 11,624$7,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 10,703$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.44 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 10,186$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.63 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 10,165$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 9,027$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.87 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Mystics | 63c | 7,744$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.08 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 7,506$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 7,174$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.88 | 372 | 51.1%190 W · 182 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 5,975$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 5,424$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.16 | 486 | 46.9%228 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Washington Mystics | 79c | 5,293$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.09 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 4,987$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.48 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 4,707$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.08 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 73c | 4,557$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.65 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 4,241$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.13 | 578 | 54.8%317 W · 261 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 4,168$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.72 | 400 | 45.5%182 W · 218 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 4,152$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.77 | 353 | 26.1%92 W · 261 L | -22.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 4,071$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.02 | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 3,757$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Washington Mystics | 75c | 3,550$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.45 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 63c | 3,263$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.31 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 3,101$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.67 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…b567backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 2,939$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Mystics | 62c | 2,917$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.46 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Washington Mystics | 40c | 2,805$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 2,704$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…97afbacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 2,613$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…e199backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 2,562$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 2,256$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 2,212$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.85 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Washington Mystics | 75c | 1,995$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…5fc2backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 1,791$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 1,736$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.37 | 858 | 58.3%500 W · 358 L | +69.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 1,697$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 1,550$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 1,521$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.64 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 1,519$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.29 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 1,500$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,441$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,382$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.96 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 1,370$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 1,317$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 1,191$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.94 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Mystics | 71c | 1,164$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.07 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 1,108$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.42 | 526 | 52.7%277 W · 249 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b57…8cc0backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 1,016$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Mystics | 71c | 1,001$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.93 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb3…04dbbacked Washington Mystics | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 971.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 951.83$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 342 | 49.7%170 W · 172 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Washington Mystics | 79c | 903.15$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…e427backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 883.58$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 420 | 51.2%215 W · 205 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 868.17$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.11 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 863.47$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 831.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 805.66$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Washington Mystics | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 767.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 93 | 8.6%8 W · 85 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 599.72$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 586.45$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 585$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Washington Mystics | 62c | 568.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 531.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 526.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 498.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 485.58$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Washington Mystics | 73c | 481.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…b80fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 473.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 464.39$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Washington Mystics | 41c | 463.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…f8fabacked Washington Mystics | 77c | 450.12$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Mystics | 64c | 445.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 441.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 436.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…5b50backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 427.78$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 419.18$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 410.65$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 391.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics | 73c | 389.47$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 377.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 371.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 353.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 325.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 320.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 320$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 313.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.