WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1891f7090ced30b9faf8872af62bbe0328ac222cca0c4f9f39f2918986b6663a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 34,793$19,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,671.13 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 22,678$11,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,991.36 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 9,490$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.48 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 7,243$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.56 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 3,610$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.53 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 3,596$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.67 | 332 | 50%166 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 3,511$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.04 | 420 | 51.2%215 W · 205 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 3,205$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.02 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,239$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.13 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 2,005$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.02 | 526 | 52.7%277 W · 249 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 1,927$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,784$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.14 | 486 | 46.9%228 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 1,720$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.05 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 1,553$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.87 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 1,185$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…4f02backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 996$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 935$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 911.63$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.62 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 821$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 682.39$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 677.49$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 400 | 45.5%182 W · 218 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 600$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 595.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 809 | 48.6%393 W · 416 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 561$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 543.32$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 467.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 444$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 430.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.37 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 420.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.49 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 408.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 406$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 396.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 394$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 334$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 578 | 54.8%317 W · 261 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 331$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 278.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 342 | 49.7%170 W · 172 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 266.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 260$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 240.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 322 | 50%161 W · 161 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 236.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 222.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 178.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 622 | 42%261 W · 361 L | -33.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 522 | 47.5%248 W · 274 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 146.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 128.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 123.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 266 | 46.2%123 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 120.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 100.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 96.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 91.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 91.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 72.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 255 | 45.9%117 W · 138 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 66.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 63.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 61.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 60.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 41.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 38.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 421 | 47%198 W · 223 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 37.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 37.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 359 | 54.9%197 W · 162 L | +22.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 32.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…1656backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 28.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 18.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 18.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.