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WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over48c25,153$11,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,971.835332.1%17 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over48c14,230$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,830.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Under52c12,438$6,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,972.972665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c11,319$5,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,441.582025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c3,152$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.281,82051.7%941 W · 879 L+54.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.995149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c2,889$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.931,04047.7%496 W · 544 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c2,402$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.2292349.2%454 W · 469 L+3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe6…4797backed Under52c2,393$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,100$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.4588548.2%427 W · 458 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under53c1,962$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.9331855.7%177 W · 141 L+14.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.782356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under53c1,950$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.633268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under52c1,555$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.46956.5%39 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under53c1,500$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.516248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,413$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.2348646.9%228 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under50c1,271$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.031030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under60c1,191$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.8718957.7%109 W · 80 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c1,160$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.9343546.7%203 W · 232 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c1,056$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1578342.3%331 W · 452 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Over51c1,051$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.781030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105450%27 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under53c937.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.135756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over47c932.02$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7311548.7%56 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c752$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4440850%204 W · 204 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over48c711.5$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.521560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c656.39$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6380948.6%393 W · 416 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under51c627.45$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.454641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c486.19$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6241841.1%172 W · 246 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…7e67backed Over51c435.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28d…df7fbacked Over50c392$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under52c365.74$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5512759.8%76 W · 51 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over14c255.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7411527.8%32 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under64c203.66$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.023450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under52c199.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.56346%29 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under58c193.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.377347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Under50c174.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.654654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under63c157.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.857460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16df…9653backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf969…4fdbbacked Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.626456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0378…1755backed Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over51c125.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.028447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under52c115.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.693452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over48c113.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02c5…c13abacked Over48c106.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc2…c69abacked Under54c102.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.652661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over51c100.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2414349%70 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf343…ac3dbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x199c…2515backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8e…6a8bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cf…6eb7backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Under52c91.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c85.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0840750.1%204 W · 203 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over50c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.58943.8%39 W · 50 L-10.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over49c80.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.649651%49 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under49c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.467341.1%30 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x658b…ad0fbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x334a…c4cfbacked Under52c55.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Under53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under52c46.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3619744.7%88 W · 109 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Over48c42.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c5…122cbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Under71c33.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7c…34e7backed Over48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over48c29.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…5219backed Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015044%66 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.