WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb921e653f2c3967c9fd8d2c43fa2220256295de075a191999694729243cfc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 58c | 7,610$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.06 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 6,231$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 458 | 15.7%72 W · 386 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 43c | 5,044$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.26 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 2,316$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.15 | 526 | 52.7%277 W · 249 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 2,253$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.32 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 1,899$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.18 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,720$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 976.28$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.07 | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 65c | 934.49$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 26c | 860.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.19 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 68c | 628.34$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 59c | 619.24$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 332 | 50%166 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 38c | 486.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 392.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 26c | 390.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 41c | 383.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 378.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 60c | 374.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 342 | 49.7%170 W · 172 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 76c | 303.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 353 | 26.1%92 W · 261 L | -22.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 41c | 192$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 59c | 173$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 62c | 145.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 76c | 132.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 34c | 117.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 622 | 42%261 W · 361 L | -33.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 74c | 112$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 10c | 110.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 115 | 27.8%32 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 56c | 103.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Over | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…541ebacked Under | 60c | 67.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 59c | 55.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 51.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 41c | 45.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 64c | 45.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 76c | 44.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 725 | 45.2%328 W · 397 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 38c | 33.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 38c | 31.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 38c | 31.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 38c | 31.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 359 | 54.9%197 W · 162 L | +22.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…fcf3backed Under | 61c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.