CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d438ac46e50f1140ccc65b46860334a178c1d20f86675e7155f7f0d51ba885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof STATE, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked STATE | 53c | 24,876$13,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,228.03 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 16,630$7,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.32 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…ca2cbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 14,630$6,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,753.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed STATE | 53c | 8,326$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.58 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed STATE | 51c | 3,096$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.19 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed STATE | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 1,101 | 51%561 W · 540 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed G2 Ares | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…8f17backed G2 Ares | 49c | 2,046$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed G2 Ares | 50c | 1,973$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.6 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked STATE | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 200 | 52%104 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed STATE | 51c | 1,543$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.19 | 634 | 54.6%346 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed STATE | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Ares | 47c | 1,398$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.05 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed G2 Ares | 46c | 1,304$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.73 | 500 | 55.2%276 W · 224 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked STATE | 52c | 1,211$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.65 | 1,054 | 52.6%554 W · 500 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed STATE | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.99 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…1aa1backed G2 Ares | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked STATE | 52c | 925$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed STATE | 53c | 750.41$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed G2 Ares | 48c | 694.26$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed STATE | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 587.46$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 575.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 184 | 48.4%89 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked STATE | 52c | 566.8$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed STATE | 49c | 548.01$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.52 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 481$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed G2 Ares | 57c | 446.44$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 469 | 65.7%308 W · 161 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed G2 Ares | 46c | 428$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed G2 Ares | 54c | 427.75$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 420.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 65c | 409$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed STATE | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed STATE | 51c | 392.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 386 | 50.5%195 W · 191 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 288 | 40.6%117 W · 171 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 53c | 379.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked G2 Ares | 46c | 346$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked STATE | 59c | 340.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed STATE | 54c | 335.37$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed G2 Ares | 49c | 316.13$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 590 | 39.3%232 W · 358 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 Ares | 46c | 313$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed G2 Ares | 49c | 309.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed G2 Ares | 50c | 308.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 496 | 39.3%195 W · 301 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed G2 Ares | 49c | 305.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 302.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed STATE | 44c | 300.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed G2 Ares | 51c | 295.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed STATE | 32c | 270.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 422 | 41.9%177 W · 245 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 53c | 255$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed STATE | 29c | 254.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed STATE | 51c | 252.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed G2 Ares | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 222.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 365 | 47.4%173 W · 192 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed STATE | 53c | 221.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 454 | 52.2%237 W · 217 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed G2 Ares | 45c | 220$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 77c | 219.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed STATE | 53c | 212.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…5de9backed G2 Ares | 46c | 209.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed G2 Ares | 46c | 208$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…e6edbacked STATE | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed STATE | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed STATE | 54c | 190.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked G2 Ares | 49c | 186.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…711cbacked G2 Ares | 64c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed STATE | 18c | 175$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares | 57c | 170.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 168.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 71c | 164.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed G2 Ares | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 425 | 55.3%235 W · 190 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed STATE | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed G2 Ares | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed G2 Ares | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed G2 Ares | 47c | 146.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Ares | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Ares | 51c | 131.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 22c | 131.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed G2 Ares | 68c | 130.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 728 | 60.2%438 W · 290 L | +72.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…783cbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 27c | 129.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked STATE | 14c | 126.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace1…f428backed G2 Ares | 45c | 123.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed STATE | 52c | 122.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…279fbacked STATE | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 118.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed STATE | 55c | 117$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed G2 Ares | 50c | 109.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 550 | 55.1%303 W · 247 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 109.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…fdf9backed G2 Ares | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed STATE | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed STATE | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked STATE | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed STATE | 50c | 97.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked STATE | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 54c | 96.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed G2 Ares | 49c | 96.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 73c | 95.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 93.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.