Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ea6ae7cbd0b986fa1c455472fba1260edff437ae1b85335d1c200e3d5e550a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,170,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,045,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,170,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 914 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14c7…9ccfbacked Yes | 59c | 672,206$399,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,440.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 40c | 478,758$191,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,503.24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed No | 41c | 455,000$187,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,599.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 43c | 338,003$143,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,883.83 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 60c | 330,000$198,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,000 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 40c | 324,709$130,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,972.64 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 41c | 202,528$83,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,141.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Yes | 58c | 200,000$116,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,999.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 166,059$100,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,617.19 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 41c | 148,999$61,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,089.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 77c | 67,562$52,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,511.71 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 1c | 65,000$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 59c | 64,705$37,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,773.01 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 60c | 60,000$36,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,819.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 60c | 58,333$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,333.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 7c | 51,054$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 58c | 45,085$25,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,126.2 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 42,305$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.05 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 41c | 38,066$15,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,607.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 17c | 31,976$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.29 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 60c | 31,138$18,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,455.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 70c | 30,000$21,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.9 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 58c | 28,935$16,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.62 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 25c | 26,000$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 11c | 23,566$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 59c | 22,782$13,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,340.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 59c | 21,749$12,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,917.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…d0f7backed No | 43c | 20,384$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,765.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 59c | 19,225$11,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.54 | 182 | 34.6%63 W · 119 L | -12.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 60c | 17,140$10,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,855.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked No | 42c | 17,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 59c | 16,536$9,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…ce2abacked Yes | 58c | 15,345$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 58c | 14,246$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 1c | 14,029$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked No | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…e80fbacked No | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Yes | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 18c | 11,941$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.42 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 41c | 11,000$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 10,269$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.82 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…8f1abacked Yes | 57c | 10,010$5,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 2c | 9,595$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 16c | 8,500$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 59c | 8,422$4,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 5c | 8,337$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Yes | 57c | 7,842$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed No | 3c | 7,633$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 78c | 7,575$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 76c | 7,400$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…4091backed Yes | 59c | 7,282$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 62c | 6,847$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.7 | 397 | 33%131 W · 266 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Yes | 60c | 6,843$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 22c | 6,639$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c5…3188backed Yes | 58c | 6,591$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 6,531$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.26 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Yes | 76c | 6,501$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 58c | 6,477$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.22 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…f173backed Yes | 60c | 6,279$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 59c | 6,254$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.45 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 414 | 53.6%222 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 5,970$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.26 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 6c | 5,574$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 74c | 4,980$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.24 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…172cbacked Yes | 60c | 4,881$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…a1f9backed Yes | 60c | 4,833$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Yes | 60c | 4,757$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 4,451$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.07 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 41c | 4,440$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.53 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed No | 20c | 4,386$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +218.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Yes | 59c | 4,331$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 43c | 4,031$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 42c | 3,911$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…8cc9backed Yes | 58c | 3,641$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed No | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…f5bbbacked No | 29c | 3,479$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…6625backed Yes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 59c | 3,226$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 41c | 3,075$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 58c | 3,004$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 41c | 2,750$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.98 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 21c | 2,684$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.56 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 58c | 2,590$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.97 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…0445backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc776…1e92backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 2,454$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.02 | 785 | 42.5%334 W · 451 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Yes | 77c | 2,278$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 78c | 2,255$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 41c | 2,250$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.