Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec45cb144a35e9dd569afee32de362b2a320dd8bcde68e59eb6dce1b1074bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 18c | 34,706$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 0c | 31,680$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 21c | 27,662$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 4c | 25,595$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 18c | 25,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 391 | 48.3%189 W · 202 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 14,285$11,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.73 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 5c | 6,987$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.65 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 12c | 5,583$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.56 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Yes | 18c | 5,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 18c | 5,128$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Yes | 6c | 4,057$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Yes | 8c | 2,847$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 18c | 2,676$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.47 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Yes | 0c | 2,632$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Yes | 19c | 2,282$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222f…a9d5backed Yes | 12c | 1,775$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…eaeebacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…973ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 18c | 1,397$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 1,333$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 19c | 831.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…31ecbacked Yes | 6c | 626.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 17c | 615.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…86c5backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 17c | 513.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 14c | 513.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 497.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked Yes | 6c | 457.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…294fbacked Yes | 18c | 398.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes | 19c | 374.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked Yes | 5c | 317.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…3d58backed Yes | 19c | 281.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…fd81backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…efd5backed Yes | 19c | 250.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 18c | 222.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…babbbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…36d7backed Yes | 18c | 211.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…61e1backed Yes | 6c | 208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…38a9backed Yes | 13c | 190.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…24babacked Yes | 17c | 182$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yes | 18c | 169.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 32.8%85 W · 174 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…605fbacked Yes | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5a9cbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…543fbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 19c | 151.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…e762backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…278dbacked Yes | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes | 17c | 109.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…18c3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…7cd8backed Yes | 18c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…23c4backed Yes | 17c | 93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…897ebacked Yes | 19c | 76.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…7249backed Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…ab0dbacked Yes | 19c | 63.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…3e21backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.