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Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed No77c45,169$34,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.875044%22 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes23c31,731$7,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,298.094450%22 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes25c18,469$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.521612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes16c12,771$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.0410942.2%46 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c9,555$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.691,82134.6%630 W · 1,191 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes9c9,117$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c6,565$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.524372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Yes18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1504734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No76c4,722$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.613060%18 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No75c4,431$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.6420557.1%117 W · 88 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes23c3,213$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.911,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Yes7c2,355$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.29650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes16c1,383$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.82420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed No78c1,139$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c1,077$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.541,42644.3%632 W · 794 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No77c1,060$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1860147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2307860.3%47 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011419.3%22 W · 92 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No79c942.63$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.012737%10 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes22c914.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1374950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes22c882.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0685952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes23c838.03$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7512535.2%44 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No77c690.52$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8221852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c597.32$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3865447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes23c543.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…eaeebacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes24c490$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes23c464.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.761,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes23c461.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0965744.6%293 W · 364 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes14c456.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.885335.8%19 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes23c442.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2637638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Yes4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c5…294fbacked Yes24c399.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x529d…5b20backed Yes24c360.84$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes17c333$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6132758.4%191 W · 136 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c332$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7275444.7%337 W · 417 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725046%23 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c289.07$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6115159.6%90 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No77c262.58$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.393551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aae…e134backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.51656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1443…9e05backed Yes18c249.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes24c239.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3c…23c4backed Yes23c232$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No80c220.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.592147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No76c219.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504045%18 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No77c212.16$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed No78c179.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+142.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd008…605fbacked Yes24c158.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No77c151.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9221939.3%86 W · 133 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c139.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4168539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x457e…c5b1backed No77c138.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.77475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes23c137.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.75846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes23c132.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4159551.3%305 W · 290 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4545…475abacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No77c128$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.448967.4%60 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes17c123.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c117.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1956044.6%250 W · 310 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207b…8118backed Yes24c115.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe165…6903backed No77c100.29$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721249.5%105 W · 107 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…79d0backed No77c96.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d9…1a88backed No76c94.37$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa342…fc4abacked Yes24c94.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab9…e630backed Yes17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a5…a53cbacked No77c78.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf7…897ebacked Yes17c76.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes23c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes18c70.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…15b1backed No77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…24babacked Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6083…aa55backed No77c68.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bc…e775backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes20c57.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes23c56.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…a42bbacked Yes23c53.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a17…048ebacked No77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed No77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+146.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c49.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1959950.4%302 W · 297 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Yes23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes24c43.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b1…0606backed Yes24c42.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb8…76b4backed No78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…3c1dbacked No77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3613445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8249…b23abacked No76c31.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.