MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52f693920f9ed1b2550f20fe88e2bb4c2b70222222838939464497912657ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 146,281$61,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,804.77 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 65c | 58,473$37,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,663.08 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 40c | 35,059$14,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,035.4 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 31,230$18,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,928.7 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 25,516$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 20,544$9,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,727.61 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 40c | 12,128$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,276.87 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 12,118$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.4 | 241 | 53.9%130 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.96 | 548 | 51.3%281 W · 267 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 33c | 6,490$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.03 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 59c | 6,063$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.96 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 60c | 5,595$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.95 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 40c | 5,419$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.58 | 934 | 46%430 W · 504 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Houston Astros | 41c | 5,366$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…f5e6backed New York Yankees | 0c | 5,162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 5,057$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.63 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Houston Astros | 40c | 4,584$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.65 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 27c | 3,080$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.13 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 40c | 3,012$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 510 | 52.5%268 W · 242 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,635$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.53 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,522$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.58 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,401$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.74 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…bf58backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,270$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 2,050$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.62 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 2,041$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.6 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,762$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.11 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 356 | 54.2%193 W · 163 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 19c | 1,411$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.37 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,329$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,280$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,093$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.06 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed New York Yankees | 7c | 1,016$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb3…04dbbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed New York Yankees | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 49.6%112 W · 114 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 23c | 815.16$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed New York Yankees | 59c | 749.95$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.47 | 317 | 52.7%167 W · 150 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 40c | 710.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.1 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 680$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 54.7%133 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed New York Yankees | 34c | 628.72$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 460 | 58.9%271 W · 189 L | +30.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 611.93$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Houston Astros | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 315 | 54%170 W · 145 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Houston Astros | 75c | 589$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Yankees | 12c | 583.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed New York Yankees | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed New York Yankees | 31c | 556.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed New York Yankees | 61c | 554.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.54 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Houston Astros | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 529.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 633 | 47.1%298 W · 335 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 31c | 507.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Houston Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 79c | 500$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed New York Yankees | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 206 | 52.4%108 W · 98 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 438.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 384 | 49%188 W · 196 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 51c | 416.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 585 | 60.3%353 W · 232 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Houston Astros | 60c | 415.01$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 580 | 58.4%339 W · 241 L | +28.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed New York Yankees | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed New York Yankees | 12c | 391.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 24c | 391$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…0a51backed New York Yankees | 53c | 375$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 27c | 370.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed New York Yankees | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…fa54backed New York Yankees | 41c | 331.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 56c | 325.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262a…cd1dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Houston Astros | 41c | 310$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked New York Yankees | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 220 | 22.7%50 W · 170 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 278$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…4fc9backed New York Yankees | 60c | 273.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 257.69$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f9…27c8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 252.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Houston Astros | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 925 | 50.1%463 W · 462 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked New York Yankees | 60c | 245$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked New York Yankees | 38c | 242.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Houston Astros | 40c | 234.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 230$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed New York Yankees | 39c | 219.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 285 | 30.9%88 W · 197 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed New York Yankees | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Yankees | 44c | 213.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 636 | 48.9%311 W · 325 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 59c | 207$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 1,534 | 59.5%912 W · 622 L | +83.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 205$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Houston Astros | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed New York Yankees | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Houston Astros | 49c | 199.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 190.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 189.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 357 | 48.5%173 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 185.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 184.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.