WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9247cfe2948d9ce0e9e35c08f5a3f6c2b0d9b2e578e19ffa5ec71a9e4efa68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 79,030$36,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,353.86 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 40,056$21,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,425.97 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 30,889$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 17,099$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,903.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 11,538$6,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.41 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 80c | 11,516$9,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.95 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 11,040$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.91 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 10,996$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 10,925$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.59 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…c4b4backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 8,292$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 8,200$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 7,924$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.09 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 5,900$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 5,900$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 5,594$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.06 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 5,482$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.92 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 5,284$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.82 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 5,079$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.13 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 5,000$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 4,786$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.84 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Washington Mystics | 59c | 4,738$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 4,703$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 4,306$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.87 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 4,049$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.36 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 3,145$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.24 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 2,920$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.02 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 2,856$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 2,781$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.09 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 2,296$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.35 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 2,124$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.51 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 2,117$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.82 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 1,880$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.28 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…97afbacked Washington Mystics | 71c | 1,824$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 1,749$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.52 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,625$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.02 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…bb89backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 1,584$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.79 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 1,446$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 1,442$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.45 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 1,411$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Mystics | 75c | 1,345$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.85 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 1,174$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.98 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 1,163$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.42 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,115$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.61 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 1,112$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.35 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 1,085$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 74c | 1,080$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 995.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 196 | 28.6%56 W · 140 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 967$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 71c | 939.05$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics | 59c | 923.38$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 847.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Mystics | 77c | 717.25$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 676.79$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 588.08$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 586.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 91 | 8.8%8 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 573.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 556$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 554.34$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 548.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 531.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 526.31$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 95 | 13.7%13 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Washington Mystics | 78c | 480.3$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 401.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 60c | 392$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 376.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1f…5a5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 354.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…e427backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 348.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 345.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 336.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 325.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 325$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 314.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 308.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 304.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 274.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 274.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 258.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 253.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Washington Mystics | 77c | 249.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 248.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Mystics | 79c | 234.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…9ac3backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 220.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…8323backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 212.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.