WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa8e1f5c08fa17e13ce0de0464a0743fead7b4abdcc78bd66b15aad65cb174b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 2,079$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Over | 63c | 1,775$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 12c | 1,695$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 1,664$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.76 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 1,135$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Over | 58c | 939.17$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 61c | 900.74$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.11 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 34c | 843.18$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 706$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 647.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.42 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 571$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Over | 58c | 518.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 511.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 458.93$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 78c | 436.44$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 416$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 383$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 7c | 335.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Over | 52c | 276.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409e…6352backed Over | 77c | 272.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 253.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 63c | 234.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 225.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Under | 47c | 221.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 186.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 180.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 174.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 161.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 159.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 27c | 144.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 43c | 100.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Over | 64c | 97.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 52c | 97.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 80.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 74.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 71.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 58c | 61.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 19c | 60.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 31c | 55.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Under | 44c | 50.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 35c | 42.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 55c | 39.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 48c | 36.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Over | 69c | 31.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 44c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Over | 66c | 24.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 52c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 46c | 21.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Under | 48c | 20.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5this page
- DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.