WNBA · resolved market
Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e92b437679388ac324b3b0913a67a8997abf646cac627591326490bf099e44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7982…968dbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 50c | 655$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed No | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Yes | 40c | 173.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +10.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…cd83backed No | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 53c | 19.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 14.5this page
- DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.