WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c5bcc1a2670dd16c5b59a3cfe8a818ace977053f3be211d0e8c1de0f35442b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 20,545$10,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,819.52 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 9,928$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.89 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 6,644$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 6,040$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,804$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.67 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 2,241$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.68 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 61c | 2,061$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.49 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,758$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.71 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,439$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.87 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,335$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,018$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 881.17$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 578.36$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.18 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 519.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 423.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…b44abacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 154.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 82.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 78.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 68.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 68.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 65.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 57.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…cd46backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 47.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…5204backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 44.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 36.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 29.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 28.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…122ebacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 21.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 21.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 21.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…a441backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.