TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over51c11,765$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.6814454.2%78 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c5,143$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.611,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c4,545$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.591,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c4,235$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.847246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under49c3,121$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.369339.8%37 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c2,463$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.8925247.6%120 W · 132 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under48c2,220$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.9314248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.863941%16 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c2,118$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.99157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over71c2,023$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.1251552.6%271 W · 244 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c2,019$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.938940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9807948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under46c1,831$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.66240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c1,716$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.6679648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under17c1,542$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8910528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.998646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under45c1,396$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6231662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,304$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.41,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Under49c1,219$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,057$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3612850.8%65 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014541.4%60 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over50c995.04$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2329548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under49c896$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.2528753.3%153 W · 134 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755250%26 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c722$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7836754%198 W · 169 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over57c699.96$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.983850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+51.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Under49c492.33$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over52c457.85$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under49c416.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under50c408.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008353%44 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Under48c392.94$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c392$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3233839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f2…1f23backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c269.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.190449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Under49c204.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Over57c201.16$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.54946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c192.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.494946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4527649.6%137 W · 139 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c166.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6465751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Under43c143.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8470%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under49c121.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under49c121.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x409e…6352backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc9e…167ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0285948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8811354%61 W · 52 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf732…abb5backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over49c78.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1330054%162 W · 138 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under53c74.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2813456%75 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under48c70.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.827338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5e4…d492backed Under50c64.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under50c61.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.773557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336e…2ae5backed Over62c48.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over52c46.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.49546.3%44 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ded…c0b1backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88643%37 W · 49 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Under48c39.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over51c39.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.449051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7756455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.876555.4%36 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over51c36.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1214350.3%72 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Under51c31.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.916151.6%83 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.812343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under49c29.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under47c28.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.467443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.119563.2%60 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under49c27.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.686043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under43c26.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.386251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.268356.6%47 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8265…5526backed Under49c25.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.535254.3%191 W · 161 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over52c21.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.246355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under50c20.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.443876.3%29 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Under49c20.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083650%18 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked Under50c20.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107162%44 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.