South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16619263dbc783cc01c71c41d4e0f690b4498292cb06829dc34d87380e7a155e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 31c | 8,779$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,076.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 7,171$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,076$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.42 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 1,029$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.87 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 990.12$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.49 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 917.54$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 714.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 51c | 369$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 26c | 236.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 70c | 168$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 48c | 122.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 106.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed No | 76c | 81.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 68c | 52.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 68c | 41.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.