South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5caa45d520437679776535894c7d4e8992e52ace83abd60e690ef6486ac97ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 3,091$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.01 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 20c | 2,707$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.54 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 2,535$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.54 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 988$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…15c0backed Yes | 27c | 874.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 863.03$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 27c | 794.52$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 515.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 485.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…3f59backed Yes | 5c | 363.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 5c | 289.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 6c | 274.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 73c | 267.07$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 196$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 24c | 193.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 68c | 170.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 73c | 133$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 100.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed No | 74c | 50.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 27c | 48.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 79c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-24?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. Santos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.