TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Buccaneers, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1496…a429backed Buccaneers47c105,280$49,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,498.5127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Saints53c101,000$53,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,47011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Buccaneers47c23,497$10,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,983.054837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Saints53c22,500$11,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,57520755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Saints53c10,861$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.285756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Buccaneers47c8,610$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,046.896645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buccaneers45c7,554$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.3883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Saints53c7,514$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.5851352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Saints55c7,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37535848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Buccaneers47c7,500$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52514450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers47c5,312$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.711,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Saints53c4,170$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.1320661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Saints54c4,001$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.2624053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Buccaneers47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Saints52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Buccaneers40c2,670$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Saints54c2,139$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.076759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Saints52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Buccaneers47c1,710$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Saints59c1,525$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4210462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Saints54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64411759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Buccaneers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Saints52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.234860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Saints51c730.57$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.9386547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Buccaneers48c521.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Saints59c474.58$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Buccaneers48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Saints51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14713435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Saints52c299.98$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9914151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Buccaneers49c299.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9859453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Saints51c292.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.575756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Buccaneers48c259.21$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buccaneers47c252.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Buccaneers49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.54650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Saints51c244.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4419459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Buccaneers50c232.86$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.436553.8%35 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Buccaneers49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.82544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Buccaneers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Buccaneers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Saints49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.65648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Buccaneers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Saints52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Buccaneers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Saints52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Buccaneers49c153.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6312446.8%58 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Buccaneers49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.520632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers47c122.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1936341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd30c…614cbacked Buccaneers46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Buccaneers48c103.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4810252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Buccaneers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Buccaneers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Buccaneers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Buccaneers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Saints51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf0…7c7ebacked Saints52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Saints53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3422349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Saints55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Buccaneers46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers45c86.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Buccaneers49c75.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.215555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Buccaneers48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.624243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Buccaneers52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Saints52c53.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.859054.4%49 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Buccaneers48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Buccaneers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Buccaneers47c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6710256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Buccaneers45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Buccaneers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Saints48c41.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Buccaneers48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Buccaneers48c40.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6811463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf38b…e256backed Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e9…f67fbacked Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3775…2309backed Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc08d…6a83backed Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53df…fac3backed Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…b6d3backed Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb742…126abacked Buccaneers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5093…3ea6backed Saints51c39.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a7…8400backed Saints51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7202…d285backed Saints51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c44…739abacked Saints51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x515e…cf91backed Saints51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buccaneers47c37.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c44…e936backed Buccaneers50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Buccaneers48c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3eb…c444backed Buccaneers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2b…0111backed Buccaneers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.