College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe68f8515a938d341d7491e37263d199561e6716fbe6247c413985843cdb0096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSUof Oklahoma, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oklahoma | 52c | 11,520$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.73 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Oklahoma | 52c | 8,124$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed LSU | 48c | 7,711$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked LSU | 47c | 6,000$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked LSU | 48c | 4,958$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.33 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed LSU | 48c | 4,513$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.79 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oklahoma | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma | 53c | 3,755$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.66 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oklahoma | 45c | 2,375$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.1 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LSU | 55c | 2,110$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.9 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU | 49c | 1,994$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.94 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LSU | 48c | 1,789$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.56 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Oklahoma | 53c | 580$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed LSU | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Oklahoma | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LSU | 50c | 440.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.2 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked LSU | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed LSU | 53c | 377$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LSU | 49c | 335.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed LSU | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Oklahoma | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed LSU | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oklahoma | 49c | 254.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LSU | 52c | 218.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oklahoma | 47c | 217.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked LSU | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed LSU | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LSU | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Oklahoma | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked LSU | 50c | 129$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed LSU | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed LSU | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Oklahoma | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Oklahoma | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Oklahoma | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed LSU | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Oklahoma | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked LSU | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed LSU | 65c | 34.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked LSU | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oklahoma | 50c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…afbfbacked LSU | 50c | 21.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma (-10.5)this page
- LSU vs. OklahomaOklahoma won
- LSU vs. Oklahoma: O/U 36.5Under won
- O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-11.5)LSU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.