Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c082c724f9eee7a5fdea3cb26474c36e6d40eb84fbc11681f54c87ea558ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 17,144$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.08 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 14,411$10,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.1 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,137$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.13 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 793.52$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 73c | 392.25$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…4f64backed No | 73c | 387.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 154.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…2c0abacked Yes | 31c | 117.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 105.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 77c | 101.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…d066backed Yes | 31c | 94.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 13c | 79.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…6745backed Yes | 28c | 72.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 23c | 55.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 71c | 34.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 70c | 26.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 40c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc734…feefbacked No | 73c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 76c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.