Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aeca5b615f11477dc171a36704265b3e2fac91abfbed711b187230d21487b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 48c | 43,876$21,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,060.57 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 5,946$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 76c | 3,030$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.67 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 1,076$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 55c | 720.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 29c | 520$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 508.49$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed No | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 48c | 471.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 466.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 462$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 252.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 202.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 159$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 49c | 113.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 49c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 49c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5708…6575backed No | 62c | 17.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-25?No won
- Will Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.