MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8002c9dbba3fe2c5ca79a99c0436977bf225f6c2cb09086de524103f0688b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 57c | 281,477$160,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,350.02 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 131,274$56,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,448 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 52,067$22,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,448.82 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Padres | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Padres | 54c | 37,407$20,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,218.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 57c | 27,657$15,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,892.54 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 23,143$10,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,183.09 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 18,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 17,115$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,000$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,455$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.27 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Padres | 56c | 6,028$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.14 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,960$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,797$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,054$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 3,304$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,792$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,086$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.3 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 986.6$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.24 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 931$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Padres | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 700$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 642.19$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 591$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 585.6$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 53c | 531.55$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 420.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 271.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 79c | 187.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 59c | 176.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres | 60c | 168.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 157.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 137.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 53c | 134.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 122.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 101.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 83.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Padres | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 55.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 52.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Padres | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 42.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 39.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 45c | 38.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…25e3backed Padres | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Padresthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.