Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf3fa5a09e1dd90a946cea73a62d6a738c2401c0ea01f5a4bbda7507a28ad41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 44c | 41,126$18,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,095.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 56c | 40,208$22,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,691.52 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 2,083$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.25 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 1,210$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 46c | 999.67$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 947$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 695.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 45c | 670.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 38c | 525.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 36c | 363.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 229.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 55c | 127.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 77c | 118.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 90.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 34.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.