Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4073218e22955d42396d66eabbcff09958ff5c44a037c07ac03c2a78678ee10d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77be…b0fdbacked Yes | 27c | 6,296$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…86f8backed No | 73c | 4,111$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…cdd5backed Yes | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,395$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 3,353$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.89 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 77c | 3,333$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9b10backed No | 73c | 3,150$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…fcf9backed No | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…52dcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 365.95$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 27c | 185.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked Yes | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…f492backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…8dc6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…ff47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed Yes | 26c | 99.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-24?Yes won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.