Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf36b1159983ce7f46fa290572d1e8d1f03f7a6d9e813608922466ae04baefc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 50c | 21,979$10,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,989.5 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 48c | 5,103$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 4,248$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.24 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 4,220$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 61c | 3,840$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 61c | 822.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…52dcbacked Yes | 56c | 609.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 40c | 514.44$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 59c | 359.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 291$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Yes | 52c | 250.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…d4c3backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…f2fdbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 48c | 53.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Yes | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…eda9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will Kayserispor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?No won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.