Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Celtic win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53575ff0c201ec979b5a48c016345e2cb23ea904b2678d7da2ba2624107cda07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 70c | 27,325$19,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 4,462$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 79c | 2,995$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.89 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 38c | 2,270$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.49 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 1,730$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.42 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 28c | 597.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 35c | 472.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 454.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 63c | 451.91$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 397.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 379.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 32c | 309.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 65c | 307.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 54c | 206.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Yes | 63c | 136.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 134.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 36c | 132.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 62c | 109.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 41c | 101.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 64c | 93.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 65c | 77.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 76.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 36c | 59.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 59c | 54.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…933ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…da52backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 60c | 42.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…f90bbacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 64c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will Crvena Zvezda vs. Celtic end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.