Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9511efb25c676cb82dd5b6427265729b721c8c33163288290c166e87f70e8b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 63c | 35,000$22,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,975.47 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 37c | 15,753$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.31 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 37c | 7,876$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 37c | 7,631$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.38 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 63c | 6,146$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 39c | 4,819$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 39c | 1,758$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…4bacbacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 37c | 692.6$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 552.01$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 37c | 462$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 41c | 439.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 263.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 42c | 241.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 55c | 73.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 39c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked Yes | 59c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…32a7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.