MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80fbc99f8b83387d6f14943912de22c1fec9eb7c6c98e95ad7c772fece256880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Braves, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $567,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 39c | 199,344$77,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,669.53 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 61c | 145,400$88,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,705.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Braves | 40c | 139,562$55,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,824.78 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 60c | 94,867$56,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,946.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 61c | 50,751$30,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,792.89 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Phillies | 61c | 50,655$30,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,755.45 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 39c | 43,971$17,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,148.83 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 61c | 26,000$15,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,140 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 61c | 22,222$13,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,766.58 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 39c | 18,273$7,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.57 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Braves | 39c | 15,385$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Phillies | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 60c | 14,833$8,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 61c | 12,440$7,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.71 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves | 40c | 9,337$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.15 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 61c | 7,382$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves | 38c | 6,721$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.84 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 62c | 5,300$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 56c | 5,147$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Braves | 37c | 5,012$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Braves | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 60c | 4,026$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 54c | 4,016$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Phillies | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Braves | 39c | 3,986$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.54 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 52c | 3,919$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.08 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Phillies | 63c | 3,344$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Braves | 25c | 2,834$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.38 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves | 36c | 2,619$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.72 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Braves | 49c | 2,208$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.64 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 19c | 1,798$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Braves | 37c | 1,786$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.68 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Braves | 41c | 1,326$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 60c | 1,313$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 55c | 1,039$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.86 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 60c | 1,019$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.43 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Braves | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Braves | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 43c | 959.21$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.15 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Phillies | 63c | 954$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…b3f9backed Braves | 37c | 951$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Braves | 37c | 948.91$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Phillies | 63c | 946$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 61c | 645$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Braves | 38c | 624.87$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 62c | 562.54$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Braves | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Phillies | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 62c | 446.01$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…0379backed Phillies | 63c | 415.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Braves | 38c | 415.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 63c | 413.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Braves | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 40c | 377$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…2f2fbacked Phillies | 61c | 365$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 37c | 349.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 39c | 345.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Phillies | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 39c | 300.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Phillies | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…0c58backed Phillies | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 61c | 270.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 61c | 265.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 63c | 261.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 62c | 245.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Phillies | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 55c | 223.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Philliesthis page
- Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.