Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64131e0ec98d5fc56e22ef555c1222dde9700ea5b6283d033bc3c6ed87eae5ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 5c | 17,500$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 7,219$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.4 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 5c | 5,893$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.59 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 6c | 5,441$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,724$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 5c | 2,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 3c | 954.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 8c | 898.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 6c | 680.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 7c | 565.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…8d65backed Yes | 8c | 430$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 9c | 419.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 5c | 409.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 6c | 385.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 6c | 376.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Yes | 5c | 352.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 7c | 310.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 6c | 305.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 6c | 298.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 6c | 295.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…4175backed Yes | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 11c | 260.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…ad9abacked Yes | 6c | 171.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 162$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 10c | 149.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…7f8cbacked Yes | 9c | 126.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-01-12?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.