Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb228b01c78548b0868ca36f030e1db8e08354fdef3d396c29cbb50aafaa8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 9c | 49,507$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.16 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 10c | 47,730$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.14 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed No | 7c | 39,737$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 22,932$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 11c | 22,846$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.54 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 16,799$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 10c | 16,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 11,488$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 7c | 10,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 8c | 8,352$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.16 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 8c | 5,438$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 5,100$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 0c | 5,073$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 4c | 3,978$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 14c | 3,543$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 12c | 3,507$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 10c | 2,500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 4c | 2,201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 5c | 1,963$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed No | 8c | 1,877$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 5c | 1,649$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 7c | 1,184$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 12c | 1,078$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 957.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 876.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 2c | 804.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 10c | 799.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked No | 14c | 696.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 4c | 549.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 13c | 522.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…c396backed No | 2c | 492.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 6c | 456.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed No | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed No | 16c | 248$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 12c | 220.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…f337backed No | 13c | 197$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…02ffbacked No | 12c | 186$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…ad9abacked No | 14c | 168.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 11c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 14c | 155.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 150.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 9c | 138.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 10c | 97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 12c | 91.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked No | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed No | 14c | 75.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-01-12?No won
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.