TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked No47c91,730$43,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,530.54850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes52c46,859$24,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,492.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes52c40,118$21,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,056.466363.5%40 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No47c24,624$11,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,55318129.8%54 W · 127 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c16,804$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.255,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c15,821$8,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,336.312,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7002857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes52c7,102$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.4226659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No48c4,993$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.421450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c4,286$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.81,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked No6c3,861$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes53c2,733$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.531,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes61c2,587$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.0523435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No47c2,388$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.6118742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No42c2,357$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb54c…8affbacked No43c2,045$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Yes59c1,991$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No35c1,976$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.992254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No48c1,900$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes71c1,469$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.963644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes53c1,235$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.351968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes56c1,230$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8939853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes59c1,184$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.626546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes58c1,018$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.736944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c1,001$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59888%7 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No47c880.89$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.978829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes48c876.3$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed No47c864.96$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked No6c781.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.91625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-61.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No5c734$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c718$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b80…b3b2backed No25c586.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes54c542.71$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No6c512.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.133262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes53c499.78$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5911245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No40c463.05$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.221693.8%15 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick70cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No38c410$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.011844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Yes53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No13c394.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No7c380.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No41c349.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.555155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes61c328$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9231827%86 W · 232 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes53c326.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.422268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No40c306.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.682646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14117950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No5c284.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.342330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+438.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c246.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.451,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No41c236.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.856058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes59c229$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.891723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e1…8c44backed Yes51c208$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No18c205.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.951,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…2737backed No49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa828…ee5cbacked No49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fa…968fbacked Yes51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c202.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x730b…55a8backed No49c202$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fc…d9ecbacked Yes51c202$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…ff04backed No49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e0…268dbacked Yes51c198$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes53c180.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.789759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No37c173.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.410236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Yes53c158.87$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes61c153.8$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9813228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c141.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8712065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked No15c134.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes51c122$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.787441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No47c119.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No26c118$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8615459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked No18c112.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No12c111.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Yes54c111.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No39c110.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.121345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Yes54c108.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed No48c103.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4216747.9%80 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Yes61c81.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…a2f4backed No41c71.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No29c70.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.649522.1%21 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25034%17 W · 33 L-9.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes63c69.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes58c69.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.181553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed No40c63.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.494630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a61…588bbacked Yes59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No26c42.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No31c40.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed No48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Yes53c28.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No48c26.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.