TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,009,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,023,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes59c858,147$505,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,517.392626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No41c263,900$108,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,7013060%18 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No41c120,353$49,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,008.210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No41c120,000$49,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,80028355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,00015344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No41c50,000$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,5003050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No41c40,002$16,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,60117958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No44c39,954$17,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,374.2231947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c35,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,00021154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No42c28,549$11,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,558.281729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No42c20,520$8,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,901.620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c19,156$10,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,39735758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8504045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8502853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c14,563$8,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,150.646,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No41c13,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,67035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No42c12,734$5,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,385.7815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No41c8,980$3,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,281.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes20c8,000$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.7411029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No47c7,447$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.092227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No40c7,360$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.012540%10 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes58c4,616$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.3832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c4,483$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.9946551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c4,097$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.8610236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes56c4,057$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.6630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes57c4,032$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.6727235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No43c3,661$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.5924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes57c3,474$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9809636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No42c2,962$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.6621353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c2,702$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.2879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4503834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No41c2,049$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.9124566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1803839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1805054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Yes59c1,684$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.491060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.977251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c1,038$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.151,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No42c1,020$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.74946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes57c750$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.56051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No41c657.55$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.5590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No41c653.24$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3543644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2059…bfc9backed Yes58c530.82$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.881050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No40c482.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1220447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa693…9454backed Yes43c462.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No55c430$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c419.61$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.224,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23629427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes19c381.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1920744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No42c348.46$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.713560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes58c344.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No42c285$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.310044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes56c264$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No43c239.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes44c229.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10127024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes32c221$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7225329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes32c221$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.724843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No42c166.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7214953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes50c158$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No48c155.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8116737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes58c154$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.54422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes24c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.53959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No41c144$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ad…972fbacked Yes59c131.36$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No42c112.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No42c109.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.283256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5167…dc43backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265418.5%10 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No52c92.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.